How your results are worked out
Your Job Risk combines the nine factors below. Each is scored from public research and labour-market data for your occupation, then adjusted for what you told us: the tasks you actually do, your industry and where you live.
Factors that make change more likely (like AI exposure) raise Job Risk; factors that protect the work (like long-term demand and pay strength) lower it. Higher Job Risk means more pressure for the work to change — not that you will lose your job.
Each result in your report says what it is based on and how confident it is. When something is estimated because we don't know it yet, the report says so.
The nine factors in your Job Risk
AI exposure
raises Job RiskHow much of the work in your role current AI tools can already do or speed up, task by task.
Sources: Anthropic Economic Index (2025) · OpenAI “GPTs are GPTs” (2023) · Yale Budget Lab (2025) · ILO generative-AI index (2025) · Felten AI occupational exposure · Brookings/NBER (2025) · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Robotics exposure
raises Job RiskHow much of the physical work in your role robots are taking on, and how fast robots are spreading in your industry.
Sources: O*NET work activities · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · U.S. Census robotics data · Our World in Data (robot density, 2024)
Automation exposure
raises Job RiskHow routine and rule-based the work is — the kind of work ordinary software automates.
Sources: O*NET work activities · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Digital system dependency
raises Job RiskHow much the job runs through software systems that are being rebuilt around AI.
Sources: O*NET technology skills
Long-term demand
lowers Job RiskWhether employers will need more or fewer people in this work over the next ten years.
Sources: BLS employment projections 2024–2034 · BLS separations and openings · O*NET Bright Outlook
Hiring right now
lowers Job RiskHow job postings and pay offers for this work are moving at the moment.
Sources: Indeed Hiring Lab postings index · Indeed wage tracker · U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Pay strength
lowers Job RiskHow pay for this work compares and holds up — a sign of how much employers value it.
Sources: BLS occupational wages (OEWS)
Industry momentum
lowers Job RiskWhether your industry is growing and hiring, here and nationally.
Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics · World Economic Forum Future of Jobs (2025) · ManpowerGroup (2025) · World Bank development indicators
Infrastructure and energy investment
lowers Job RiskPublic and private investment (energy, infrastructure, manufacturing) creating demand for this work.
Sources: ASCE Infrastructure Report Card (2025) · International Energy Agency (2024) · U.S. Energy Information Administration · U.S. Department of Energy · World Bank
NextArc's results are evidence-based estimates from public research and labour-market data, not predictions or guarantees. AI and labour-market information can be wrong or incomplete.